Skip to main content

Macro Map

The paths by which indicators move sectors.

See at a glance the paths by which interest rates, exchange rates, oil, inflation, employment and exports reach sectors and assets, and which areas are favored right now.

-

1 · Current phase

This is the phase the market is in right now.

We compared the level and direction of key indicators with the last five years.

Upcoming schedule

    Current trend of the 6 factors

    A bar to the right means interest rates, exchange rates, oil and inflation are rising or the economy and exports are improving; to the left, the opposite trend. It is judged by the change over the last 3 months and the position within the 5-year range; a strong trend is labeled "clear" and a weak direction is labeled "neutral".

    2 · Causal chain

    This is how a single release spreads.

    Pick an event. You will see how the indicator flows through interest rates and the dollar to winners and losers among sectors.

    This is the textbook path. In real markets, moves can differ depending on expectations, other indicators and investor sentiment.

    3 · Impact map

    Which factors favor which areas?

    It puts the relationships between 6 factors and 30 sectors and assets on one page. Tap a cell to see the reason and the actual statistics.

    FavorableUnfavorableNeutralDotted: actual data is the opposite

    4 · Did it really happen?

    We checked it against the data for the past 10 years.

    Using monthly data, we calculated how each sector and asset actually moved in the months when a factor moved.

    Moved oppositeRank correlation coefficientMoved together

    Gray line: direction differs from theory · Faint line: weak relationship

    5 · Environment score now

    Which areas are favored in the current environment?

    We scored each area by combining theory and actual data with the current factor states. Change the scenario and it is recalculated.

    This is not investment advice. This score is only a reference indicator summarizing whether the macro environment is favorable to a sector; it is not a recommendation to buy or sell any specific stock or ETF. There is no guarantee that past relationships will repeat in the future, and it does not reflect corporate earnings, price levels or investor flows.

    How the score is calculated

    Representative ETF examples show the names of products that track the sector, for reference only; check the product's fees, tracking error and liquidity separately.