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Part 8 · In practice: your own routine for reading the economy · Lesson 43

Graduation: your own weekly economic checklist

Turn what you learned in 43 lessons into a 10-minute habit once a week. Check the seven items in order, leave a one-line note, and you graduate.

13 min readLesson 43 of 43As of: the numbers in the figures are loaded from Robin Invest market and macro data when the page opens · text examples use data updated 2026-10-04 (Korea and US closes of 2026-10-02, monthly indicators for 2026-09) · checked 2026-10-05✓ Read

QToday's question

You've learned all 43 lessons, but on Monday morning you don't know what to look at first. How do you turn what you learned into a habit you use every week?

After splitting stock prices into the two knobs of earnings and multiple in Lesson 1, you moved through 43 lessons covering inflation, interest rates, jobs, exchange rates, commodities and sentiment. Knowledge builds up, but it fades quickly if you don't use it every week. In this final lesson, we compress everything you've learned into seven checks and set an order that takes 10 minutes or less.

MAPLearning map for this lesson

We build it up in three steps. At the end of each step, a 'Quick check' lets you test your understanding before moving on.

Before you start

This lesson wraps up the whole course. Recall one representative lesson from each part: Lesson 1 stock price = earnings × multiple, Lesson 8 how to read CPI, Lesson 13 central banks, Lesson 19 the jobs report, Lesson 23 what the exchange rate means, Lesson 29 oil prices, Lesson 36 reading the sector map, and Lesson 40 interpreting headlines. For any lesson you remember vaguely, you can reopen it right away from the 'Lesson 43 map' below.

  1. STEP 1 · Basic conceptsAll 43 lessons on one page

    You can explain with a one-page map how the eight parts connect, and state the two basic questions to ask of every piece of news.

  2. STEP 2 · Understanding the mechanicsThe seven checks and their order

    You can explain what the seven weekly checks are, and why you look from the big winds to the small winds.

  3. STEP 3 · Real-world applicationThe Monday morning 10-minute routine

    You can fill in the checklist with a real week's data, and write a one-line note containing the conditions to check next week.

Knowledge builtConcepts built so far: 187 · 4 added in this lesson

Part 1 · Getting familiar with economics 29 ✓
Stock priceMarket capitalizationEPS (earnings per share)P/E (price-earnings ratio)Discount rate previewEarnings knob and multiple knob4 economic agentsCircular flow of moneySpending = incomeExport shareSupply and demandEquilibrium pricePrice cycleCyclical sectorsGDPValue addedNominal and real GDPEconomic growth rateGDP components (consumption, investment, government, net exports)QoQ and annualizedBusiness cycleRecovery, expansion, slowdown, recessionPeak and troughCyclical component of coincident indexCyclical and defensive stocksLeading, coincident and lagging indicatorsPMI (50 threshold)Diffusion indexComposite leading indicator (100 baseline)
Part 2 · Prices 21 ✓
InflationPurchasing powerRule of 72Nominal and real interest ratesCPICore inflationYoY and MoMBase effectConsensusPCE price indexPPIPass-through2% inflation targetDisinflationDeflationStagflationGrowth × inflation four phasesThree ways inflation reaches assetsReal assetsPricing powerInflation-linked bonds
Part 3 · Interest rates 28 ✓
Interest rate = the fee for moneyDeposit and lending ratesCredit spreadFixed and floating ratesPolicy rateBOK Monetary Policy Board and FOMCDual mandatePolicy lagNeutral rate, hawk and doveMarket interest rateRates by maturity (2-, 3-, 10-year)Priced inTerm premiumThree promises of a bond (par, coupon, maturity)Rate and bond price seesawBond yieldDurationYield curveTerm spreadYield curve inversionPresent value calculationGrowth and value stocksEquity durationP/E and required returnInterest rates as income and costLoan-deposit spread and NIMInsurers' investment incomeSector map by rate phase
Part 4 · Employment and the economy 16 ✓
Jobs report (first Friday)Nonfarm payrollsUnemployment rate · labor force participation rateAverage hourly earningsJobs data revisionsSurprise (actual − expected)Earnings surprise · shockOrder of reading on release dayTwo-knob scale (multiple ↑ · earnings ↓)Rate cut hopes vs. recession fearsSahm ruleSoft landing · GoldilocksThree baskets of spending (durables · nondurables · services)Consumer discretionary vs. consumer staplesRetail sales · consumer sentimentAccelerator principle (swings in investment)
Part 5 · Exchange rates and exports 27 ✓
Exchange rate = the dollar's price tagHigher rate = weaker wonWon depreciation · appreciationAsymmetric percentages of exchange ratesDollar demand and supplyKorea-US rate gapTrade balance · current accountRisk aversion and the safe-haven dollarDollar indexWon revenue = dollar revenue × exchange rateNet foreign-currency exposureForeign exchange translation gains and lossesNatural hedgeFX sensitivity disclosureExport and import trends (1st of each month)Daily average exports · working daysExports = price × volumeExport concentrationStocks move before exportsDollar-based returnsThe cycle of exchange rates and foreign investor tradingForeign investor net buying · net sellingForeign ownership shareWon return = stock price × exchange rateFX exposure · FX hedgingForward exchange contractHedging cost (rate gap)
Part 6 · Commodities and the global economy 21 ✓
The three oil benchmarks (WTI · Brent · Dubai)Sluggish crude oil supply and demandOil → headline inflation → second-round effectsRefiners vs. airlines divergeGold = a safe asset that pays no interestOpportunity cost of gold (real interest rate)The three forces behind gold pricesCentral bank gold buyingDr. Copper (copper price)DRAM fixed contract priceLimits of the price thermometerChip stocks pricing in aheadThe US market overnightThree paths of US influenceNext-day correlationKorea-specific factorsExport share to China (26.8% in 2018 → 18.4% in 2025)Intermediate goods exportsChina's three engines (factories, real estate, consumption)Both customer and competitor (overcapacity)Stimulus hopes vs. actual numbers
Part 7 · Connecting the economy to stocks 27 ✓
Stocks are at the front of the economyOrder of bottoms (stocks → leading → coincident → employment)Lag correlationWall of worryFalse signals from stock pricesSector rotation clockEarly- vs. late-cycle sectorsReturn vs. the market (relative return)Textbook vs. realityThe three layers of the Macro MapFactor state (−1 to +1)Theoretical sign vs. actual correlationAnatomy of the environment scoreRe-reading through scenariosP/E (price vs. earnings) · P/B (price vs. assets)P/B = P/E × ROEInterest rates and the fair multipleValue trapKorea discount · Value-upLiquidity and money supply (M2)Quantitative easing (QE) · quantitative tightening (QT)Central bank balance sheetLiquidity-driven markets and reversalsReading VIX (fear index) rangesMargin loan balance (leveraged buying)Forced liquidation amplifying declinesChecking fear and overheating extremes

Part 8 · In practice

Three boxes of a headline (cause → reaction → impact)Five questions for interpretationTextbook direction vs actual reactionFollow-up checksMaximum drawdown (MDD)Gain needed to recover a lossRecovery periodThe nature of a crisis and the prescriptionPolicy putRespond rather than predictDiversification · asset allocationDollar-cost averaging vs lump-sum investingRebalancingScenario response tableSeven weekly economy checksNEWBig wind → small wind orderNEWCondition-to-check noteNEWMonday morning 10-minute routineNEW

STEP 1All 43 lessons on one page

Before building the checklist, let's lay out the road you've walked so far as a one-page map.

Easy analogy · The pre-flight checklist

Pilots who have flown thousands of hours still check a checklist item by item before takeoff. Not because their memory is bad, but so they don't miss anything when they are busy or tense.

Investing is the same. On days when the market swings hard, an order you set in advance is worth more than the knowledge in your head. The goal of this lesson is to turn the knowledge from 43 lessons into a checklist you open once a week.

The eight parts are one story

The Economics course is split into eight parts, but it is really one story running in a single line. Part 1 set the starting point that a stock price is the , and Part 2 (inflation) and Part 3 (interest rates) taught the forces that shake the multiple knob the hardest. Part 4 (jobs and the economy) moves both the earnings knob and the central bank's judgment, and Part 5 (exchange rates and exports) is the link unique to the Korean market. Part 6 (commodities and the global economy) is the wind that blows in from outside, and in Part 7 we connected all of this to sectors and valuation. The final Part 8 is the process of applying that knowledge to real news, to crises, and to a weekly habit.

So the map flows from top to bottom: the basic structure of the economy (Part 1) → the value and price of money (Parts 2–3) → the temperature of the economy (Part 4) → links between Korea and the world (Parts 5–6) → translation into stocks (Part 7) → practice (Part 8).

See it in a picture: the Lesson 43 map

Tap a part. Its key question and lesson list appear, and lessons read in this browser are marked in green. The bar is the share read in each part.

Basic structure → value and price of money → temperature of the economy → links between Korea and the world → translation into stocks → practice

Tap a part and its key question and lesson list appear here.

Structure of the Robin Invest Economics course (8 parts, 43 lessons). The read marks come from progress saved in this browser; no login is needed, and each device keeps its own record.

Two questions to ask of every piece of news

Condensed to one sentence, the 43 lessons say this: "Does this news change companies' earnings, or the multiple the market assigns? And was it already expected by the market?" The first question is the two knobs of Lesson 1, and the second is the of Lesson 20 and the idea of Lesson 14.

Two questions to use every week

1 Is it the earnings knob or the multiple knob? The economy, exports and commodities mainly move earnings; interest rates, sentiment and liquidity mainly move the multiple. 2 How different was it from expectations? The market reacts to the gap from expectations rather than to the number itself.

These two questions are the backbone of the checklist. The seven items you are about to see are, in the end, a list for making sure you don't miss "what winds blew on the two knobs this week, and what winds are forecast for next week".

Quick checkThe headline "US 10-year yield surges, growth stocks weak" is mainly about which knob?
The multiple knob. When interest rates rise, the discount rate used to convert future earnings into today's value gets bigger, so the market assigns a lower multiple even to the same earnings (Lesson 17). Growth stocks, with a large share of distant future earnings, are especially sensitive.

STEP 2The seven checks and their order

The order you look in matters as much as what you look at. Start with the big winds and work down to the small winds.

Why start with the big winds?

When checking the weather, you first see whether a typhoon is coming, then look at temperature and wind. Economic indicators work the same way. Only when you know the direction of interest rates and the exchange rate, the benchmarks for all asset prices, do you have a frame for interpreting the numbers below them. For example, if growth stocks were weak in a week when interest rates rose sharply, that is likely the result of the whole multiple knob being pressed down, not a problem with individual companies (Lesson 17). If you reverse the order, you end up attaching separate reasons to each sector's move and tend to miss the big flow.

So the checklist follows this order. Summarize the week by what has already happened (market results), then look in turn at the biggest wind (interest rates), the winds unique to the Korean market (the exchange rate and foreign investors) and the wind from outside (commodities), then check the winds yet to come (this week's calendar). Finally, take the market's temperature (sentiment), and close with how all these winds reach sectors (the sector map).

OrderItemKey questionLessons covered
1Last week's market resultsWhich way, and how much, did the KOSPI, S&P 500 and Nasdaq move?Lessons 1, 32
2Interest rateAre the US 10-year yield and the policy rate rising or falling?Lessons 13, 14, 16
3Exchange rate and foreign investorsIs the won strengthening, and are foreign investors buying or selling?Lessons 23, 24, 27
4CommoditiesWhat are oil, gold and copper saying?Lessons 29, 30, 31
5This week's scheduleWhat are the expected figures for CPI, jobs, FOMC, BOK Monetary Policy Board and trade statistics?Lessons 8, 19, 20
6Investor sentimentAre the VIX and margin loan balance showing fear or overheating?Lesson 39
7Sector mapAre the winds a tailwind or a headwind for the sectors I follow?Lessons 35, 36

See it in a picture: this week's checklist

When this page opens, the checklist below loads Robin Invest's latest market and macro data and attaches the current number to each item. Tick the items you've checked and they are saved in this browser as this week's record (Mon–Sun); when next week comes, a new checklist starts. You can leave a one-line note at the bottom and print it or save it as a PDF.

Loading the latest data…

This week0 / 7 checked

Number sources: Robin Invest Today's Market (Naver Pay Securities, FRED), Macro Map (FRED, BOK ECOS), Short Selling & Margin Loans (KOFIA FreeSIS, KRX). If the data can't be loaded, data updated on 2026-10-04 is shown. Checks and notes are saved only in this browser and are not sent to a server.

Each item has a set 'what to write down'

For a checklist to become a habit, each item needs a short, fixed description of which number to look at and what to write. For market results, write only the direction and size; for interest rates, only the 10-year yield's level and its change over the past month; for the exchange rate, only the direction of USD/KRW and the sign of foreign investors' net buying. For commodities, look at the direction of oil first and check whether gold and copper are saying different things (gold often speaks of anxiety, copper of the economy). For the calendar, write the date together with the so you can judge the surprise right away on release day. For sentiment, write the level of the and the direction of change in the margin loan balance; for the sector map, write the of the sector you follow and the top reason behind that score.

Common misconceptions

"The more indicators you watch, the more accurate you are?"
No. As indicators multiply, conflicting signals multiply too, and judgment tends to blur. The reason we cut it down to seven is that it has to be an amount you can check without fail every week to become a habit.
"Fill out the whole checklist and next week's stock price direction comes out?"
The checklist is not a forecasting tool; it is a tool for not missing things. The result is not "up" or "down" but a note that says "if this condition appears, I check it this way".
"It only means something if you look every day?"
For long-term investors, weekly is actually better than daily. It cuts the day-to-day noise and lets you focus on whether the direction of the big winds, such as interest rates and the exchange rate, is changing.
Quick checkWhen writing 'this week's calendar' in the checklist, what must you write alongside the date?
The market's expected figure (consensus). Since the market reacts to the gap from expectations rather than the number itself (Lesson 20), writing down the expected figure in advance lets you judge right away on release day "was it higher or lower than expected?"

STEP 3The Monday morning 10-minute routine

Now let's fill in the checklist with a real week. The numbers are Robin Invest data from the first week of October 2026, when this lesson was written.

Split the 10 minutes like this

TimeWhat to doWhere to look
1 minCheck last week's market results and the overnight US marketHome · Today's market
3 minWrite down the numbers and directions for interest rates, the exchange rate, oil and sentimentMacro Map · Current phase, Short Selling & Margin Loans
1 minCheck the direction of foreign and institutional flowsMarket Data · Investor Flows
2 minWrite down this week's indicator and monetary policy calendar with expected figuresCalendar
2 minCheck the environment score of the sectors you follow and the top reasonEnvironment score
1 minWrite a one-line note and check the conditions in last week's noteThe checklist above

The last minute is the most important. The moment you check whether the conditions you wrote down last week actually appeared, and if so whether the market reacted as expected, the checklist becomes your own review notebook rather than a mere record. After just a few weeks, habits start to show, such as "I reacted sensitively to interest rates but often missed exchange rate signals".

Filling it in with an example: the first week of October 2026

The three examples below fill in the checklist with the actual numbers from the Robin Invest Macro Map and market data (updated 2026-10-04), as of the October 2, 2026 close. These numbers are that week's record; you can see the current numbers in the checklist above.

Example 1 · Start with interest rates: a week when the multiple knob was pressed down

The US 10-year was 5.28%, in the top 2% of the past five years, and had risen 0.79 percentage points over three months. The upper bound of the Fed's policy rate was 4.00% and Korea's policy rate was 3.00%. Read with the frameworks of Lessons 13 and 17, this is an environment where a high discount rate presses down the multiple knob, a headwind for growth stocks and long-term bonds with a large share of distant future earnings. Conversely, in the Macro Map's environment score, banks came out 'somewhat favorable' thanks to higher interest rates (the very score dissected in Lesson 36).

Note: 10-year yield in the 5% range persisting → headwind for growth stocks and long-term bonds, tailwind for banks and insurers. If rates fall more than 0.3 percentage points in a month, re-check whether the score ranking changes.

Example 2 · The exchange rate and exports: Korea's own wind

The USD/KRW exchange rate was KRW 1,349, down 12.3% over three months, so the won clearly strengthened. In the same period, Korea's export growth (export value index, August 2026) was 75.8% year over year, the highest in the past five years. Read with Lessons 25 and 26, the export boom pushes up the earnings knob, while the strong won somewhat trims exporters' won-translated earnings. When two winds blow in opposite directions, the key is which is bigger, and this time the power of semiconductor exports, where volume and price grew together, was far bigger.

Note: export boom (earnings ↑) vs strong won (translated earnings ↓), exports currently winning. In the trade statistics released on the 1st of next month, check whether semiconductor growth slows, and whether foreign investor turns to buying.

Example 3 · Calendar and sentiment: winds coming next week

The was 15.31, in the bottom 23% of the past five years, meaning the market was calm. But the KOSPI margin loan balance grew about 16%, from about KRW 22.6 trillion on April 1, 2026 to about KRW 26.1 trillion on October 1, so debt-fueled investing kept steadily building up. The calendar had US September CPI on Oct 14, the BOK Monetary Policy Board on Oct 22 and the FOMC on Oct 28. Read with Lesson 39, 'calm sentiment + growing debt' is a combination in which swings can get bigger if a big surprise comes.

Note: write down the Oct 14 CPI expectation the day before the release. If higher than expected, rates and the dollar ↑ → the headwind in Example 1 grows. Also check whether the VIX breaks 20 and which way the margin loan balance is heading.

For stocks: good notes and bad notes

Bad noteGood noteWhy is it better?
"Rates look like they'll rise, be careful""If the 10-year goes above 5.3%, review growth stock weight"It has a numerical condition to check
"Semiconductors look good""If semiconductor export growth slows for two months in a row, revisit the sector score"It states what would change your mind
"Expecting a crash next week""CPI expected 3.2%; if above 3.5%, check interest rates first"It writes down the expected figure and the order of response instead of a forecast

What good notes have in common is a . If you write in the form "when this number appears, I look at this again", you can respond in the order you set in advance without panicking even if the market moves differently than expected. As you learned in Lesson 42, forecasts are often wrong, but you can set the order of response in advance. A note is not a signal for buying or selling a specific stock; it is a record that reveals what assumptions your judgment rests on.

It isn't always so. The checklist's seven items and their order are an educational framework for not missing the macro environment, and they do not reflect company earnings, price levels, or an individual's investment horizon and risk tolerance. The interpretations in the examples apply the principles learned so far to that week's data and are not buy or sell recommendations.

Graduation card

When you've read all 43 Economics lessons in this browser, the card below turns into a completion card. If there are lessons you haven't read yet, you can jump straight to the first remaining one.

Economics course progress

Checking your progress…

Quick checkWhich note fits the purpose of the checklist: "It looks like it will go up this week" or "If CPI comes in higher than expected, check the 10-year yield first"?
The second note. The checklist's output is not a directional forecast but a check condition. With a condition written down, next week you can review whether it appeared and how the market reacted.

✓What we learned today

  • When you look at economic news, always ask two things: does it move the earnings knob or the multiple knob (Lesson 1)? And the gap from expectations matters more than the number itself (Lesson 20).
  • Each week, look at the seven items from the big winds to the small winds: market results → interest rates → exchange rate and foreign investors → commodities → this week's calendar → investor sentiment → sector map.
  • We look at interest rates first because they are the benchmark (discount rate) for all asset prices. Once you know the direction of interest rates and the exchange rate, you have a frame for interpreting the rest of the numbers.
  • The output of the routine is not a conclusion but a one-line note containing a 'check condition'. Next week, begin by checking whether that condition came true.
  • The checklist is not a forecasting tool; it is a tool for not missing things. Even when a forecast is wrong, having an order of response reduces the shaking (Lesson 42).
Course complete · Next courseReading Financial Statements: Fundamental Investing by the Numbers

You've finished all 43 Economics lessons. Now that you can read the winds of the whole market, the next step is to check for yourself whether 'the company I bought is sound'. In the next course, 'Reading Financial Statements', you'll learn how to read the balance sheet, income statement and cash flow statement using a fictional company, Robin Bakery.

Quiz5-question quiz

Pick an answer and it's graded right away with an explanation.

Q1. What are the two basic questions this course has asked throughout when looking at economic news?

Q2. What is the main reason the checklist looks at interest rates before the exchange rate and commodities?

Q3. The won is strengthening while Korean exports are growing strongly. Which is the correct reading of exporters' earnings knob?

Q4. The VIX is low, but the margin loan balance keeps growing. What is the most appropriate reading of this combination from the perspective of Lesson 39?

Q5. What is the best note to leave after finishing the weekly checklist?

NextTerms · Next lesson · Related tools

Stock priceStock price

The price at which one share of a stock trades in the market. Over the long run it is set by the earnings the company makes and the multiple (P/E) the market puts on those earnings.

P/EPrice-Earnings Ratio

Share price ÷ EPS. A multiple showing how many times one year's earnings the market pays for a share. It varies greatly with interest rates and investor sentiment.

Priced inPriced in

A state in which something expected to happen is already reflected in prices such as stock prices or interest rates. If things happen as expected, prices do not move much.

SurpriseSurprise

The difference between the actual announced figure and the market's expectation (the consensus). The market reacts to the direction and size of this gap rather than to the number itself.

ConsensusConsensus

The average forecast of market experts for an economic indicator or company earnings. The gap between the actual release and this figure moves the market.

10-year Treasury yield10-year Treasury yield

The interest rate when a government borrows for a 10-year term. The US 10-year yield is used as a benchmark rate for asset prices worldwide.

Exchange rateExchange rate

The rate at which the currencies of two countries are exchanged. USD/KRW 1,400 means it costs 1,400 won to buy 1 dollar.

Net buying / net sellingNet buying / Net selling

The amount bought minus the amount sold over a given period. Positive means net buying and negative means net selling. It is tallied daily by foreign investors, institutions, and individuals.

VIXVolatility index, fear gauge

The expected volatility over the next 30 days, calculated from S&P 500 option prices. It rises as investors become more anxious.

Investor sentimentInvestor sentiment

Whether investors are optimistic or pessimistic. With the same earnings, better sentiment gives a higher multiple.

Macro environment scoreMacro environment score

A reference indicator on the Macro Map that sums factor weight × factor state × effect (65% theory + 35% actual correlation) and organizes whether the current macro environment is a tailwind or headwind for a sector in five levels (favorable to unfavorable). It does not reflect earnings, price level or supply and demand flows.

Weekly economy checklistWeekly macro checklist

A checklist for reviewing seven items in the same order every week: market results, interest rates, exchange rate and foreign investors, commodities, this week's calendar, investor sentiment and the sector map. It is a tool for not missing important signals, not for forecasting.

Check triggerCheck trigger

A condition set in advance, such as "if this number appears, take another look at this." Example: "if the 10-year yield goes above 5.3%, review the weight of growth stocks." It is a way of fixing the order of your responses rather than making a forecast.

Investment memoInvestment memo

A short record of the assumptions and numbers your judgment rests on. You use it as a review notebook by checking next week whether the assumptions held.

This is educational material and not investment solicitation. There is no guarantee that past relationships will repeat in the future.